Terms of the offer
Explore the 3D world of Asteroids, Comets and NEOs. Learn about past and future missions, tracking and predicting orbits, and close approaches to Earth. Asteroid 2024 YR4 is a near-Earth asteroid. When asteroid 2024 YR4 was discovered, it was estimated to have a very small chance of impacting Earth impact on Dec. 22, 2032. After more observations, NASA concluded it poses no significant impact risk to Earth in 2032 and beyond. Asteroid 2024 YR4 is a rubble pile with a 3.1% chance of hitting Earth next decade. (dzika_mrowka/Getty Images) An asteroid that could level a city now has a 3.1-percent chance of striking Earth in 2032, according to NASA data released Tuesday – making it the most threatening space rock ever recorded by modern forecasting. NASA has identified a near-Earth asteroid, 2024 YR4, with a slightly more than 1% chance of impacting Earth on December 22, 2032. This also means there is a 99% likelihood that it will not collide with our planet. As scientists gather more data, these probability estimates will likely change.
